Conf = NESCAC State = ME
Nickname = Polar Bears Coach = Liz GroteGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.7984314 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 301 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 9, 93.0) 4-15 304 H Southern Maine Little East (13- 6, 81.1) 19- 2 308 H Middlebury NESCAC (21- 1, 99.2) 3-16 311 N Roger Williams Conference of (10- 7, 85.4) 18- 8 312 N Westfield State MASCAC ( 6-11, 82.5) 14- 9 315 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 8, 91.2) 6-15 318 H Plymouth State Little East (16- 4, 84.6) 21- 6 322 H Amherst NESCAC (11- 6, 94.7) 9-13 329 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 6- 8, 92.2) 9-13 402 A Bates NESCAC ( 7- 9, 91.7) 15-12 409 H Colby NESCAC (17- 4, 95.8) 5- 8 412 H Williams NESCAC ( 7- 9, 93.8) 9- 8 413 H Babson NEWMAC (15- 4, 89.1) 10-12 419 A Wesleyan NESCAC (15- 6, 96.5) 11-18 423 A Tufts NESCAC (21- 2, 99.9) 11-22
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Trinity 4-15 -11 -2 -- -4.50 304 H Southern Maine 19- 2 17 9 0.00 308 H Middlebury 3-16 -13 -8 0.00 311 N Roger Williams 18- 8 10 4 + 2.55 312 N Westfield State 14- 9 5 7 - -2.00 315 A Connecticut College 6-15 -9 -2 -- -4.95 318 H Plymouth State 21- 6 15 5 1.13 322 H Amherst 9-13 -4 -4 0.17 329 A Hamilton 9-13 -4 -3 -0.92 402 A Bates 15-12 3 -2 ++ 5.64 409 H Colby 5- 8 -3 -5 + 2.35 412 H Williams 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.32 413 H Babson 10-12 -2 1 - -3.39 419 A Wesleyan 11-18 -7 -7 0.00 423 A Tufts 11-22 -11 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Trinity 4-15 -11 -2 -- -4.50 315 A Connecticut College 6-15 -9 -2 -- -4.95 312 N Westfield State 14- 9 5 7 - -2.00 413 H Babson 10-12 -2 1 - -3.39OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Bates 15-12 3 -2 ++ 5.64 412 H Williams 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.32 311 N Roger Williams 18- 8 10 4 + 2.55 409 H Colby 5- 8 -3 -5 + 2.35
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 89.80 Power Rank................. 30 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 80.39 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 10 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6876 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 29 RPI Rating............... .5759 RPI Rank................... 55 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 47 Selection sum ........... 200 Selection Rank ............ 56 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -60. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 62 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -115. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 116 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.7